The numbers behind FarmLab
25 years of NASA data for Uzbekistan's 13 farming regions: how fast each is warming and losing water, the climate ahead, and how FarmLab's advice compares with what farmers already do.
The 13 regions side by side
Tap a region to see its climate below.
Climate 2026–2030: Navoi
Around 2028: mean temperature 16.5 °C (2001–2010: 16.4), heat-stress days 86 days (2001–2010: 79), summer crop water demand 1,556 mm (2001–2010: 1,519). Rain shows no clear trend, so FarmLab tests every crop against the full range of past years. Water stored in the ground here is rising by 40 m³/ha a year.
Mean temperature
°C per year, NASA POWER. Shaded: the range expected in 8 of 10 years.
Heat-stress days
days with max ≥ 35 °C, NASA POWER. Shaded: the range expected in 8 of 10 years.
Crop water demand
reference ET0, April–September, NASA POWER. Shaded: the range expected in 8 of 10 years.
Rain
mm per year, NASA POWER. Shaded: the range expected in 8 of 10 years.
Warmth for summer crops
degree days above 10 °C, April–October. Shaded: the range expected in 8 of 10 years.
Frost days
days with min below 0 °C, NASA POWER. Shaded: the range expected in 8 of 10 years.
Water stored in the ground
groundwater, soil water and reservoirs over about 300 km, against the 2004–2009 average, NASA GRACE satellites. Shaded: the range expected in 8 of 10 years.
Tested on the past: fitted on 2001–2018, the 2019–2025 values fell inside the band in 22 of 42 cases (52%; about 80% is expected).
The field mix comes from the developer pack, which covers 7 regions; this region is not one of them.
How far to trust this
FarmLab was checked against what farmers in Uzbekistan already do. It does not prove an answer is right, but it shows the advisor does not contradict local practice:
| Region | After cotton (top 3) | After wheat (first pick) |
|---|---|---|
| Andijan | Winter wheat, Tomato, Potato | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Bukhara | Winter wheat, Winter barley, Mung bean (mosh) | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Fergana | Winter wheat, Tomato, Mung bean (mosh) | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Jizzakh | Winter barley, Winter wheat, Melon | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Karakalpakstan | Winter wheat, Mung bean (mosh), Potato | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Kashkadarya | Winter barley, Winter wheat, Mung bean (mosh) | Chickpea |
| Khorezm | Winter wheat, Potato, Melon | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Namangan | Winter wheat, Potato, Tomato | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Navoi | Winter wheat, Winter barley, Mung bean (mosh) | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Samarkand | Winter wheat, Winter barley, Chickpea | Chickpea |
| Surkhandarya | Winter wheat, Potato, Mung bean (mosh) | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Syrdarya | Winter wheat, Winter barley, Mung bean (mosh) | Mung bean (mosh) |
| Tashkent | Winter wheat, Winter barley, Mung bean (mosh) | Mung bean (mosh) |
- Water need is calibrated to the NASA developer pack's net irrigation in its 7 regions.
- Not yet tested on real farm yields: that needs data from farms or the extension service.
Data built 2026-11-15 · NASA POWER 2001–2025, MODIS, GRACE, SoilGrids, FAOSTAT, SIAT